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国内外期货市场间信息溢出效应的实证研究——基于均值、方差和风险Granger因果关系
id: 2077
Date: 20131014
status: published
Times:
Magazines
第3卷,第1辑
Author
洪永淼, 李艺, 陆凤彬, 汪寿阳
Content
利用Hong(2001)方法系统检验了中国与国际市场间期货交易的4种信息溢出:均值、方差、10%和5%下跌风险溢出。研究表明,在我们研究的9类期货品种中,8类与国外市场间存在显著的信息溢出效应,而中国小麦期货受CBOT小麦显著的均值溢出影响,其反向信息溢出则不显著。并且,中国加入WTO后,国内外期货交易的联系有所增强,我国的一些期货品种也在国际期货市场中具备了一定的影响力。但总体而言,与国际发达期货市场相比,我国的期货市场仍处于信息溢出影响的弱势地位。
JEL-Codes
Keywords
期货,Granger因果关系,极端风险,信息溢出,GRACH
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