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Are Nearly “Exogenous Instruments” Reliable?

id: 1987 Date: 20131014 status: published Times:
AuthorDaniel Berkowitz, Mehmet Caner*, Ying Fang
ContentWe show that when instruments are nearly exogenous, the two stage least squares t-statistic unpredictably over-rejects or under-rejects the null hypothesis that the endogenous regressor is insignificant and Anderson-Rubin test over-rejects the null. We prove that in the limit these tests are no longer nuisance parameter free.
JEL-CodesC30
KeywordsValid Instruments, Weak Identification, Inference.
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